Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.829990 0.961132 1.103149 1.267983 1.453625 1.655818 1.892277
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.661530 0.848088 1.067703 1.343509 1.678666 2.070671 2.561618
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.534384 0.749793 1.022569 1.389009 1.863476 2.451689 3.229926
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.458653 0.696371 1.016969 1.472907 2.095171 2.904099 4.022523
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.375434 0.614660 0.957060 1.470430 2.205537 3.202753 4.636352
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.308137 0.541801 0.895381 1.451936 2.284315 3.457311 5.202720
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.257188 0.483724 0.844793 1.439123 2.363741 3.711892 5.780082
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.224655 0.449246 0.824363 1.466830 2.501500 4.055382 6.502524
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.196064 0.416099 0.800500 1.484136 2.621382 4.376837 7.208993
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.170829 0.384296 0.773846 1.492107 2.724244 4.675840 7.896109
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.153494 0.364397 0.764943 1.528002 2.873525 5.054075 8.724277
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.135496 0.339808 0.743800 1.538949 2.979769 5.367828 9.465878
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.113131 0.302215 0.693672 1.492997 2.986054 5.522972 9.970063
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.103220 0.290493 0.693034 1.539777 3.160337 5.968804 10.975254
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.093226 0.276635 0.686057 1.573152 3.312234 6.385067 11.953286
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.088549 0.274897 0.704399 1.658385 3.566356 6.992033 13.283862
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.077530 0.254668 0.679439 1.652098 3.645337 7.294146 14.105441
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.066998 0.233351 0.648825 1.630115 3.690973 7.537462 14.834723
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.058364 0.215308 0.623084 1.615290 3.748370 7.803461 15.614437
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.053213 0.206365 0.618068 1.645597 3.898778 8.248916 16.735723
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.048065 0.196235 0.608610 1.664573 4.026565 8.657681 17.807850
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.043044 0.185291 0.595441 1.673315 4.132876 9.030142 18.828808
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.039794 0.179554 0.595293 1.712906 4.307667 9.543297 20.133072